While approximately 35-40B of the 2024 $61 billion 🇺🇸🇺🇦package was committed or spent in 2024, about $20–25 billion remained for 2025, primarily for long-term military support and production.

As direct 🇺🇸lethal aid delivery or “security guarantees” stand as of February 2025 now by trump administration, with promotion of long term future and ongoing 100 +billion lethal aid for Kiev by the NATO 🇪🇺🇺🇸 and other non nato allies and ongoing support of the invasion and lethal aid use with strikes on Russian 🇷🇺 regions like Kursk, Bryansk Rostov talks about negotiations regarding ending war are not serious and are a non starter.

Overview of the $61 Billion package (2024)as a part of the Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act of 2024, addressing how much was spent or sent in 2024 and how much remains for 2025:

The $61 billion package, passed in April 2024, was signed into law to support Ukraine’s war effort against Russia and related U.S. needs as a part of a broader $95 billion foreign aid bill for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan.

The funds were allocated across several categories, primarily military lethal aid. Not all of the $61 billion was intended for immediate spending in 2024; some was for long-term investments or replenishment of U.S. stockpiles now under Trump administration.

The $61 billion (technically $60.7 billion for Ukraine-specific aid) was divided as follows:

1. Military Equipment ($25.7 billion):

   • $13.4 billion to replenish U.S. stockpiles for equipment sent to Ukraine (e.g., artillery shells, ATACMS, HIMARS rockets, Javelins).
   • $7.8 billion in new Presidential Drawdown Authority (PDA) to send weapons directly from U.S. stockpiles.
   • $7.0 billion to enhance the U.S. defense industrial base (e.g., increasing production of 155mm shells, missiles).

2. “Other Military Support”

   • $13.7 billion for the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI), which procures new weapons and systems directly from U.S. defense contractors for Ukraine (e.g., advanced systems like NASAMS, F-16 munitions).

3. “Economic and Humanitarian Support”

   • $7.85 billion as a loan for direct budgetary support to Ukraine’s government (e.g., salaries for teachers, first responders).
   • $1.6 billion through the State Department’s Foreign Military Financing (FMF) program for Ukraine to purchase U.S. weapons.
   • Smaller amounts for humanitarian aid, refugee support, and other non-military needs.

Spent or Sent in 2024

• Military Aid (Drawdowns and USAI) By December 2024, the Biden administration had utilized much of the $7.8 billion in new Presidential authority to send weapons directly from U.S. stockpiles. This included:
  • Over 55 drawdowns since August 2021, totaling $31.7 billion in equipment from DoD stocks, with a significant portion in 2024 (e.g., $5.55 billion notified in September 2024).
  • Specific 2024 packages included $725 million, $988 million, $1.25 billion, and $8 billion pledged in September (some of which may extend into 2025 due to delivery timelines).
  • The $13.4 billion for replenishing U.S. stockpiles and $7.0 billion for industrial base enhancements were partially obligated in 2024, but much of this funding is for multi-year contracts (e.g., producing 100,000 155mm shells monthly by 2025).
  • The $13.7 billion for USAI was also partially obligated in 2024, but procurements of advanced systems (e.g., NASAMS, F-16s) have lead times of 24+ months, meaning deliveries will extend into 2025 or later.

“Economic and Humanitarian Aid”

• The $7.85 billion loan for budgetary support was disbursed in full by December 2024, with $3.4 billion announced on December 30, 2024, as the final tranche under the 2024 Act.
• The $1.6 billion in FMF was largely obligated or spent in 2024 to facilitate Ukraine’s purchases of U.S. weapons.

Total Spent/Obligated in 2024

• By December 31, 2024, the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) reported that, of the broader $174 billion in Ukraine aid since 2022, agencies had obligated about $101.2 billion and disbursed about $67.5 billion as of December 2023. For the $61 billion package specifically:
  • The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that $5.9 billion would be spent in FY 2024 (ending September 30, 2024) and $16.3 billion in FY 2025 (October 2024–September 2025).
  • By late 2024, the Biden administration raced to expend or obligate as much as possible before January 20, 2025 (Trump’s inauguration), especially the $7.8 billion in PDA and $7.85 billion loan. Most of the direct military aid (e.g., drawdowns) and budgetary support was spent or committed by December 2024.
  • However, long-term investments (e.g., $13.7 billion USAI, $13.4 billion replenishment, $7.0 billion industrial base) were only partially obligated, with actual spending and deliveries stretching into 2025 and beyond.

Remaining Funds from the $61 Billion

Based on CBO estimates and late 2024 actions, here’s what remained for 2025:

1. Military Equipment ($25.7 billion)

2. Replenishment ($13.4 billion)

Much of this was obligated but not fully spent, as replacements (e.g., new ATACMS, HIMARS) take time to produce. Likely $8–10 billion remained unspent by December 2024, to be spent in 2025–2026.

3. New PDA ($7.8 billion)

Nearly fully utilized by December 2024 via drawdowns (e.g., $5.55 billion in September). Less than $1 billion might remain, depending on final 2024 shipments.

4. Industrial Base ($7.0 billion) Partially obligated for production increases (e.g., 155mm shells). Around $4–5 billion likely remained for 2025–2027.

5. USAI ($13.7 billion)

Only partially obligated in 2024 due to long lead times for new systems (e.g., NASAMS, F-16 munitions). Approximately $10–12 billion remained for 2025 and beyond.

6. Economic/Humanitarian ($9.45 billion)

The $7.85 billion loan and $1.6 billion FMF were largely spent or obligated by December 2024. Likely less than $1 billion remained, if any.

Total Remaining for 2025

CBO estimated $16.3 billion would be spent in FY 2025 from the $61 billion package, implying that about $44.7 billion was either spent, obligated, or committed by the end of FY 2024 (September 30, 2024).

By December 2024, with additional drawdowns and disbursements (e.g., $3.4 billion budget aid, $8 billion military pledge), the remaining amount was likely closer to $20–25 billion, primarily in long-term military investments (USAI, replenishment, industrial base) and some undelivered munitions (e.g., ATACMS, NASAMS).

2024 Spending

Most of the $61 billion was either spent, obligated, or committed by December 2024, especially the $7.8 billion PDA, $7.85 billion loan, and $1.6 billion FMF. Military drawdowns (e.g., ATACMS, HIMARS) and budget support were prioritized, with over $31.7 billion in equipment sent since 2021, much of it in 2024.

Remaining for 2025

Approximately $20–25 billion remained unspent as of early 2025, mainly for:

• Long-term USAI procurements ($10–12 billion).
• Stockpile replenishment ($8–10 billion).
• Industrial base enhancements ($4–5 billion).
• Some undelivered munitions from 2024 pledges (e.g., ATACMS, NASAMS, 155mm shells)

The Trump administration and Congress could alter or halt further spending from these funds, but existing obligations (e.g., contracts for NASAMS, ATACMS production) would likely proceed unless canceled.